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 Post subject: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 1:27 pm 
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I've got 7k3 on the first part of the event and 6k3 on the second. I'd have to Void for the third...

But I think I need to attempt an event, at least.

Thoughts, O, statistically minded?

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 1:28 pm 
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Each person needs to get at least 4 monks at least, to get the minimum result.

Tn 30 and 40 are scary on the second roll, so anyone's best bet is actually getting raises on the first weapon roll, and then maybe hitting the base roll after.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 1:58 pm 
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This is a tough one...

Through Enemy Lines: Will be rolling at 4d4, no skill vs TN25
Stealth Kill: Will be rolling at 9k4 vs TN20,TN30,TN40(?)
Begin Evacuation: Will be rolling 5k4 with Perform: Flute/Agility...but I don't have a flute, I guess I could buy or borrow one before the event?

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 2:04 pm 
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Touki is actually pretty good at every step of this (5k4, 9k4, 6k4). He just can't do it with a small weapon.

Will wait to see if some ninja want to join.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 2:47 pm 
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Baatar has decent dice pools at this (7k4 step 1, 7ke4 step 2, 4d10 or 4k3 step 3) but having been in an event on day 10 I'm going to hang back and let other people join this event, unless we find we're short on people who want to.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 2:50 pm 
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Each person only needs to get 3 to get the minimum result.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 2:52 pm 
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Myo-en’s a scout who fights with Jiujutsu and has utility tattoos+ample Void. She has an applicable skill for every step, and she can pretty safely shoot for TN 30 on the attack rolls (more if the Togashi R2 bonus applies), which, with the small weapons FR, means 6 monks saved across two rolls.

So, I’m good at it. But I won’t take a spot from someone who hasn’t done an event at all and wants to have a go—or in any case I’ll wait a while once it opens.

By the way, it’s three monks/participant for the basic win, not four. Six per person for the big prize. I think it’s probably very smart to send PCs who can shoot for more than three, though, to hedge against Orokos hate (that way we could still pass even if someone gets caught).

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 3:26 pm 
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Yeah, apparently I maths-ed wrong.

Stupid math!

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 3:32 pm 
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Good luck guys! Save the nuns!

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 3:34 pm 
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I hope to do so!

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 3:57 pm 
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I like to think Yuko is really well positioned for this?

She's got :

5k4 on Stealth
8k4 on attack rolls
And she has Sensation and Agi for a lovely 5k4 on the final step, assuming she can acquire on of those instruments.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 4:12 pm 
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More than a few Agility 4 candidates for the event!

It's a bit of dozy when you try to math monks per participant...as the first roll could end their participation...and the last roll could negate their participation. :O

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:37 pm 
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Event is open.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:53 pm 
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With the ruling on this being an attack, I could pretty easily get 5. 6 would be a little risky, but possible

Argh, to join or not...

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 5:57 pm 
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For reference, fellow rescuers: https://web.archive.org/web/20200105033 ... obability/

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 6:03 pm 
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I'm wondering about the instrument ruling in the other thread but the stealth roll is going to a coin flip at 5k5 after void and without skill. :/

Afterwards, I'm hoping to do 10k5 after void with 4 raises then a second try with 2 raises for 8 monks (I'm ambitious!). Is that too ambitious?

Then hoping for a 6k5 to bring it all home but might be moot without a flute.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 6:06 pm 
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Ouch, Kitamaru.

Maybe I'll wait till the rest of you go and see how we're doing? I've passed Stealth already and can push for 8 monks or so if it's needed

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 6:29 pm 
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Got my four. Took all my Void to do it, but I got four.

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 6:31 pm 
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Woo! Tortoise ninja :)

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 Post subject: Re: First Blood Planning
PostPosted: Tue Apr 28, 2020 7:17 pm 
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Don't forget your special Influence roll folks :)

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